Manifold vs PredictIt
By MattCS · Updated 27 September 2026
Manifold scores higher overall (6.7 vs 6.5). Manifold is stronger on games, bonuses & value. PredictIt is stronger on payments & payouts.
Scores
8.0
Trust & reputation8.0
4.0
Payments & payouts8.0
5.0
Fairness5.0
8.0
Games5.6
9.0
Bonuses & value5.0
Not scoredDesign & UXNot scored
Side by side
| Manifold | PredictIt | |
|---|---|---|
| Categories | Prediction markets | Prediction markets |
| Bonus | Ṁ1,000 play money when you sign up | No sign-up bonus |
| Provably fair | Not confirmed | Not confirmed |
| Lowest published house edge | Not published | Not published |
| KYC | Not stated | Not stated |
| Instant withdrawals | Not confirmed | Not confirmed |
| License | None stated | CFTC staff no-action letter |
| Founded | 2021 | 2014 |
| Games | Politics, Sports, Esports, Tech, Culture | Politics |
| Deposit with | Card, Crypto | Bank transfer, Card |
| Withdraw with | n/a | Bank transfer |
| Trustpilot | No reviews | No reviews |
Our verdict
It's close: Manifold scores 6.7 and PredictIt 6.5, so the details below matter more than the totals.
Pick Manifold if…
- + Completely free: Ṁ1,000 play money at sign-up
- + Anyone can create a market, on any topic
- + Good for practising before you risk money
Pick PredictIt if…
- + Running since 2014 under a CFTC no-action letter
- + Free ACH deposits and withdrawals since September 2026
- + Simple 1-99 cent shares on US politics