Manifold vs Polymarket
By MattCS · Updated 27 September 2026
Polymarket scores higher overall (7.3 vs 6.7). Manifold is stronger on trust & reputation, bonuses & value. Polymarket is stronger on payments & payouts, games.
Scores
8.0
Trust & reputation7.2
4.0
Payments & payouts8.4
5.0
Fairness5.0
8.0
Games9.8
9.0
Bonuses & value6.0
Not scoredDesign & UXNot scored
Side by side
| Manifold | Polymarket | |
|---|---|---|
| Categories | Prediction markets | Prediction markets |
| Bonus with our code | Ṁ1,000 play money when you sign up | Fee-free maker trading, no deposit or withdrawal fees |
| Provably fair | Not confirmed | Not confirmed |
| Lowest published house edge | Not published | Not published |
| KYC | Not stated | Not stated |
| Instant withdrawals | Not confirmed | Not confirmed |
| License | None stated | None stated |
| Founded | 2021 | 2020 |
| Games | Politics, Sports, Esports, Tech, Culture | Politics, Sports, Esports, Crypto, Economics, Culture |
| Deposit with | Card, Crypto | Crypto |
| Withdraw with | n/a | Crypto |
| Trustpilot | No reviews | No reviews |
Our verdict
Polymarket is the better all-round pick, 7.3 against 6.7.
Pick Manifold if…
- + Completely free: Ṁ1,000 play money at sign-up
- + Anyone can create a market, on any topic
- + Good for practising before you risk money
Pick Polymarket if…
- + The biggest prediction market: politics, sports, crypto and a full esports section (CS2, VALORANT, LoL, Dota 2)
- + Only takers pay fees, geopolitics markets are free, no deposit or withdrawal fees
- + Every price is set by other traders on an order book, not by a bookmaker